Due to the recent threat for a false flag attack on ZNPP, perhaps this has caused my dad Vlad to be proactive and eliminate the possibility of allowing the light required to read the plans for that false flag. Which Chatham hoarehouse states, the only problem is how to blame Russia....
The RT article discussing this is cited by a commentator in the last substack I posted.
Kitten asked where is the flower id usually have posted too. I didn't think twas appropriate to put one in that post.
Actually, I generally feel tis inappropriate for me to post, lately, but this threatened false flag is an exception to that sentiment....
The two RBMK Chernobyl-style nuclear reactors still in operation at Kursk lack protective concrete containment vessels, which makes the reactors and their spent fuel pools (adjacent to each reactor) quite vulnerable to a strike by Storm Shadow missile.
The destruction of a reactor and a fuel pool would trigger a release of the radiation that would be an immense catastrophe for the region and the world.
Imo, the humanitarian consequences of Russia not decisively ending this war within the next four-six months (which will require annihilating their electric grid) would be far greater than tens of thousands of Ukrainian civilians dying this winter. Namely because WW3 could kill billions.
Since nobody cares whether Ukrainians freeze or starve, since they produce nothing other than warm live bodies and they live off money borrowed or gifted from abroad, this is a waste of missiles.
Of course, the problem is that Russia has no way of affecting anything that the West cares about without sparking wwiii. The West is fully aware of this and keeps escalating.
The last part is not correct -- Russia can strike at the West directly and dare it to start WWIII and the West will back off because the calculation is that it is better to back off than to risk terminal destruction.
The problem is that, as we have discussed countless times, that means the Russian elites will forever forget about integrating with the Western elite and "going back to how things were". And so far that consideration has outweighed everything else, including the previously absolutely unthinkable...
I really like your articles; I've read all of them several times. What worries me more is the Russian oil economy, with all these sanctions. Also, the recent Yukos case and the Norwegian national wealth fund. Is the EU going to find the money for Ukraine soon?
EU they'll borrow it, Zelensky cronies and the US MIC will split it 50/50, and you'll pay it back thru debt, austerity, and being stuck with expensive US sourced energy products (presuming EU residency)
Reality check for the Bandera cheerleaders in Kiev. Not that they will be allowed to show it if they do learn anything. NATO hawks just cheer on any and all escalation regardless.
Given that US doesn't want any settlement of the conflict, AFU retains the capacity to continue provocations, and so there will be no settlement. The mechanism of action here will be population movement. Nasty stuff. The even nastier alternative is waiting passively for Zelensky regime to round up every last man and ship them off to the trenches, while collecting a few Dollars or Euro's for each one. (And probably a good number of women too - these types who run the TCC simultaneously extort the men for cash to avoid recruitment, then when they're broke and dead and wartime morality has progressed in its decline, will extort the women for something else).
>One has to wonder what the Ukrainian mindset is here, considering the level of escalation dominance the Russians have.
The Ukrainian mindset is that the sole purpose of Ukraine's existence is to hurt Russia.
But more important is the Western mindset, which is the same -- the sole purpose of Ukraine's existence is to hurt Russia. Ukraine itself can be fully sacrificed in the process.
And because no costs are imposed on the people who matter here, they will not be in any way deterred by millions of Ukrainians being left cold and hungry due to the grid shutting down.
If you want to impose deterrence, you do some of the following:
1) Start taking out Zelensky, Yermak, Budanov, Malyuk, the people around them, plus the Ukrainian oligarchs (Pinchuk, Poroshenko, Akhmetov, etc.).
2) Start taking out the grid and the refineries in the US. Which is much easier there because it is definitely not built to Soviet triple- and quadruple-redundancy standards, as we have seen on numerous occasions when it has failed due to various accidents
3) Start taking out Western oligarchs that are profiting from and driving the war -- Silicon Valley, Wall Street, Lockheed Martin/Raytheon/Boeing/Rheinmetal execs, etc. etc. I am sure Russian intelligence knows very well who to go after.
But Putin will do none of that because the ugly truth in all this is that he works for and feels he belongs to the Russian oligarchy, and the Russian oligarchy sees much more in common between itself and the Ukrainian and Western oligarchies than between itself and the Russian people. Plus there is the threat of retaliatory action, which they absolutely don't want to risk.
Thus Russia and the Russian people nobody is or will ever be defending, while a much greater concern is making sure nothing bad ever happens to the dear partners...
As far as returning the favor to Ukraine's sponsors in the US, the way is in-kind support, with whoever the US feels is its enemies on any particular day. That much is straightforward.
The reason against taking out Zelensky and his motley crew of Nazi larpers is way more cynical, and horribly cruel to the Ukrainian population. For the US they are easily manipulated and not inhibited by morals (standard US playbook around the world for the better part of a century now). For Russian leadership they have permanent value in that they discredit the West due to their repulsive ideology. Until recently a substantial part of Russian population, especially the more educated, actually believed the Western mythology. Recent events are fixing this (above all Western blank check for Israel's genocide, but just as much the ongoing Western support for Budanov's campaign vs civilian targets in Russia). But this kind of thing takes a decade or two to be fully learned. East Asians learned it a long time ago by the way, in the 1970s - something Washington policymakers seem totally unaware of today, despite their predecessors being the central actors there.
>The reason against taking out Zelensky and his motley crew of Nazi larpers
No, that is cope used to deflect from the real reasons, which are to be found in the Kremlin's deeply compromised loyalties that go against the interest of Russia and its people.
Whack the “hard US proxy” (ie the Biletsky’s and Budanov’s) and their group goes into hiding, but still collect money from US and EU and the proxy dynamic will not change. Two possibilities result. (1) the replacement leadership is pretending to be a moderate (like Zelensky once was), but no systematic change. Russia will still see endless provocations, but would also now have to convince the naive that this is really the case. (2) the replacement is genuinely interested in neutrality, and they promptly get whacked by the hard-proxy extremists who haven’t yet been sufficiently rooted out. Both versions happen repeatedly in cold war pattern.
Basically what has to happen is the whole country has to be taken over by a forceful leadership, who then roots out the hard-proxy elements - or else physical exhaustion is reached. We're looking at the latter, but it's a long road. In retrospect, a full-power takeover in 2022 would've been much less bloody in total (though initially more so) and more successful, but most people would've had a hard time understanding just how evil the ultra-nationalists within the Kiev regime are and why it was necessary.
Now anyone with two good eyes can see that it's just another in a long line of US puppets commiting the same old crimes. Downside is a huge number of people will die before it ends.
As far as top leadership goes, it's because after the 2nd or 3rd cycle they'll hide the SS patches and put in an innocent looking little old lady, and go back to playing the victim. Currently few even in Ukraine itself believe that line unless they're profiting from it in some way. Like I said it's a cynical way to play it.
Due to the recent threat for a false flag attack on ZNPP, perhaps this has caused my dad Vlad to be proactive and eliminate the possibility of allowing the light required to read the plans for that false flag. Which Chatham hoarehouse states, the only problem is how to blame Russia....
The RT article discussing this is cited by a commentator in the last substack I posted.
Kitten asked where is the flower id usually have posted too. I didn't think twas appropriate to put one in that post.
Actually, I generally feel tis inappropriate for me to post, lately, but this threatened false flag is an exception to that sentiment....
Another fine piece, Sir
The two RBMK Chernobyl-style nuclear reactors still in operation at Kursk lack protective concrete containment vessels, which makes the reactors and their spent fuel pools (adjacent to each reactor) quite vulnerable to a strike by Storm Shadow missile.
The destruction of a reactor and a fuel pool would trigger a release of the radiation that would be an immense catastrophe for the region and the world.
Smolensk 1-3 are also RBMK. I am not sure about protective concrete covers, but they are also within range.
A key signal of escalation will be if they "double tap" Kievska. I hope for the sake of the grid technicians that it doesn't happen.
Imo, the humanitarian consequences of Russia not decisively ending this war within the next four-six months (which will require annihilating their electric grid) would be far greater than tens of thousands of Ukrainian civilians dying this winter. Namely because WW3 could kill billions.
Since nobody cares whether Ukrainians freeze or starve, since they produce nothing other than warm live bodies and they live off money borrowed or gifted from abroad, this is a waste of missiles.
Of course, the problem is that Russia has no way of affecting anything that the West cares about without sparking wwiii. The West is fully aware of this and keeps escalating.
The last part is not correct -- Russia can strike at the West directly and dare it to start WWIII and the West will back off because the calculation is that it is better to back off than to risk terminal destruction.
The problem is that, as we have discussed countless times, that means the Russian elites will forever forget about integrating with the Western elite and "going back to how things were". And so far that consideration has outweighed everything else, including the previously absolutely unthinkable...
That assumes a lot of things about western elites.
They backed off in 1962.
Even taking that as granted (the USSR did not launch a first strike in 1962) that assumes that nothing has changed since then.
I really like your articles; I've read all of them several times. What worries me more is the Russian oil economy, with all these sanctions. Also, the recent Yukos case and the Norwegian national wealth fund. Is the EU going to find the money for Ukraine soon?
EU they'll borrow it, Zelensky cronies and the US MIC will split it 50/50, and you'll pay it back thru debt, austerity, and being stuck with expensive US sourced energy products (presuming EU residency)
We go through this "Will they? Won't they?" kabuki wirh every new western escalation every few months.
They always will.
And the other side never does anything in response.
Reality check for the Bandera cheerleaders in Kiev. Not that they will be allowed to show it if they do learn anything. NATO hawks just cheer on any and all escalation regardless.
Given that US doesn't want any settlement of the conflict, AFU retains the capacity to continue provocations, and so there will be no settlement. The mechanism of action here will be population movement. Nasty stuff. The even nastier alternative is waiting passively for Zelensky regime to round up every last man and ship them off to the trenches, while collecting a few Dollars or Euro's for each one. (And probably a good number of women too - these types who run the TCC simultaneously extort the men for cash to avoid recruitment, then when they're broke and dead and wartime morality has progressed in its decline, will extort the women for something else).
>One has to wonder what the Ukrainian mindset is here, considering the level of escalation dominance the Russians have.
The Ukrainian mindset is that the sole purpose of Ukraine's existence is to hurt Russia.
But more important is the Western mindset, which is the same -- the sole purpose of Ukraine's existence is to hurt Russia. Ukraine itself can be fully sacrificed in the process.
And because no costs are imposed on the people who matter here, they will not be in any way deterred by millions of Ukrainians being left cold and hungry due to the grid shutting down.
If you want to impose deterrence, you do some of the following:
1) Start taking out Zelensky, Yermak, Budanov, Malyuk, the people around them, plus the Ukrainian oligarchs (Pinchuk, Poroshenko, Akhmetov, etc.).
2) Start taking out the grid and the refineries in the US. Which is much easier there because it is definitely not built to Soviet triple- and quadruple-redundancy standards, as we have seen on numerous occasions when it has failed due to various accidents
3) Start taking out Western oligarchs that are profiting from and driving the war -- Silicon Valley, Wall Street, Lockheed Martin/Raytheon/Boeing/Rheinmetal execs, etc. etc. I am sure Russian intelligence knows very well who to go after.
But Putin will do none of that because the ugly truth in all this is that he works for and feels he belongs to the Russian oligarchy, and the Russian oligarchy sees much more in common between itself and the Ukrainian and Western oligarchies than between itself and the Russian people. Plus there is the threat of retaliatory action, which they absolutely don't want to risk.
Thus Russia and the Russian people nobody is or will ever be defending, while a much greater concern is making sure nothing bad ever happens to the dear partners...
As far as returning the favor to Ukraine's sponsors in the US, the way is in-kind support, with whoever the US feels is its enemies on any particular day. That much is straightforward.
The reason against taking out Zelensky and his motley crew of Nazi larpers is way more cynical, and horribly cruel to the Ukrainian population. For the US they are easily manipulated and not inhibited by morals (standard US playbook around the world for the better part of a century now). For Russian leadership they have permanent value in that they discredit the West due to their repulsive ideology. Until recently a substantial part of Russian population, especially the more educated, actually believed the Western mythology. Recent events are fixing this (above all Western blank check for Israel's genocide, but just as much the ongoing Western support for Budanov's campaign vs civilian targets in Russia). But this kind of thing takes a decade or two to be fully learned. East Asians learned it a long time ago by the way, in the 1970s - something Washington policymakers seem totally unaware of today, despite their predecessors being the central actors there.
Don't kid yourself. The world continues to crave American carrot and fears American stick.
That part of the world still views Zelenskii as a hero.
Europeans maybe, but they don’t count for much these days
Humans in general are herd animals to rival any sheep.
>The reason against taking out Zelensky and his motley crew of Nazi larpers
No, that is cope used to deflect from the real reasons, which are to be found in the Kremlin's deeply compromised loyalties that go against the interest of Russia and its people.
Whack the “hard US proxy” (ie the Biletsky’s and Budanov’s) and their group goes into hiding, but still collect money from US and EU and the proxy dynamic will not change. Two possibilities result. (1) the replacement leadership is pretending to be a moderate (like Zelensky once was), but no systematic change. Russia will still see endless provocations, but would also now have to convince the naive that this is really the case. (2) the replacement is genuinely interested in neutrality, and they promptly get whacked by the hard-proxy extremists who haven’t yet been sufficiently rooted out. Both versions happen repeatedly in cold war pattern.
Basically what has to happen is the whole country has to be taken over by a forceful leadership, who then roots out the hard-proxy elements - or else physical exhaustion is reached. We're looking at the latter, but it's a long road. In retrospect, a full-power takeover in 2022 would've been much less bloody in total (though initially more so) and more successful, but most people would've had a hard time understanding just how evil the ultra-nationalists within the Kiev regime are and why it was necessary.
Now anyone with two good eyes can see that it's just another in a long line of US puppets commiting the same old crimes. Downside is a huge number of people will die before it ends.
Why does everyone when we have that discussion assume that the replacement will be untouchable?
Of course you immediately take out the replacement too.
And the replacement of the replacement. And so on.
You leave them with no leadership at all at any moment.
As far as top leadership goes, it's because after the 2nd or 3rd cycle they'll hide the SS patches and put in an innocent looking little old lady, and go back to playing the victim. Currently few even in Ukraine itself believe that line unless they're profiting from it in some way. Like I said it's a cynical way to play it.
Ask 100 people around the world, and already 99 of them either know nothing of the Nazi patches or will make excuses for them.
>Russia attacks smaller substations and infrastructure recently
>online ziggas immediately complain that they didn’t strike any of the 750kv stations
>Comrade Putler, peace be upon him, immediately orders the total liquidation of maybe the most important 750kv substation in the country.
Thank you President V.V. Putler, very cool.