Ukraine will get its money and its jets. Governments are experts at creative financing. "We can't afford it!" applies only when a government doesn't want to do something. If they want something, a work-around will be found. A favorite is a "government guarantee" (which, as a contingent obligation, doesn't appear on the government's balance sheet, so we can all pretend that the government isn't paying.)
Now, everyone knows that Ukraine can't pay, won't pay, but when it comes to that point, it won't matter. It's not like the missiles and aircraft disappear because the swedish regime or whatever has to make good on its guarantees.
For that matter, european leaders have shown that they are happy to dismantle what remains of "social europe" to keep the war going. Once the guarantees come due, this may be used as an excuse. "See, we have to cut pensions, healthcare, infrastructure and education because we have to make good on our guarantees...."
Will this be popular with europeans? Nope.
Will anyone ask europeans what they think or want? Nope.
Interesting data point! More so considering how obviously fantastical the "28 point plan" was, even before the predictable rejection by Ukraine and EuroNATO. I might take it to mean not so much that a settlement is imminent, but rather that the market's expectation of war's length or escalation ceiling has been reduced.
When a stock is speculated up on an uncertain scenario (in this case, possibility of overt NATO involvement or Russian cash being seized and spent), and also when a business is dying, its price response can be more like that of an option. In that metaphor, perhaps the market is repricing the likelyhood of the event and/or how long is left before expiration ... but that doesn't mean it's particularly soon.
Trump is weak, stupid and easily manipulated. Ukraine and the europeans have already gotten Trump to water down the "peace proposal" into something that Russia cannot possibly accept, then they will whine that Russia doesn't want peace.
Trump will then be needled into continuing to escalate. As the sunk cost of the War On Russia rises, Trump (egged on by the european catamites) will be forced to keep escalating rather than be the one to "lose Ukraine".
It's an obvious trap, and Trump, being a moron, is walking right into it.
Trump doing 180's monthly stopped being news a while ago already, I'd say. Allegedly proposed text clearly at odds with basic RF needs too, from the beginning, so no surprises there either
wow, this was fire! (as usual). Is the purpose of the Russian hits on infrastructure to take the candy from the Europeans, to decrease their incentive to dump more money and weapons on Ukraine?
It's to demilitarize (ie, deindustrialize) Ukraine, and get people to go to safety rather than be exterminated by the TCC conscription/extortion program
Ukraine will get its money and its jets. Governments are experts at creative financing. "We can't afford it!" applies only when a government doesn't want to do something. If they want something, a work-around will be found. A favorite is a "government guarantee" (which, as a contingent obligation, doesn't appear on the government's balance sheet, so we can all pretend that the government isn't paying.)
Now, everyone knows that Ukraine can't pay, won't pay, but when it comes to that point, it won't matter. It's not like the missiles and aircraft disappear because the swedish regime or whatever has to make good on its guarantees.
For that matter, european leaders have shown that they are happy to dismantle what remains of "social europe" to keep the war going. Once the guarantees come due, this may be used as an excuse. "See, we have to cut pensions, healthcare, infrastructure and education because we have to make good on our guarantees...."
Will this be popular with europeans? Nope.
Will anyone ask europeans what they think or want? Nope.
Will it matter? Nope.
"Ukraine will get it's money and it's jets" Which Ukraine?
The regime in Kiev, as you know well.
Russia is doing a great job of demilitarization of the Arrogant West, I hope the deNazieficiation efforts are equally successful.
My dad Vlad spoke of demilitarization and deNaziefication , we can only hope for the continued success of said efforts....
Interesting data point! More so considering how obviously fantastical the "28 point plan" was, even before the predictable rejection by Ukraine and EuroNATO. I might take it to mean not so much that a settlement is imminent, but rather that the market's expectation of war's length or escalation ceiling has been reduced.
When a stock is speculated up on an uncertain scenario (in this case, possibility of overt NATO involvement or Russian cash being seized and spent), and also when a business is dying, its price response can be more like that of an option. In that metaphor, perhaps the market is repricing the likelyhood of the event and/or how long is left before expiration ... but that doesn't mean it's particularly soon.
Trump is weak, stupid and easily manipulated. Ukraine and the europeans have already gotten Trump to water down the "peace proposal" into something that Russia cannot possibly accept, then they will whine that Russia doesn't want peace.
Trump will then be needled into continuing to escalate. As the sunk cost of the War On Russia rises, Trump (egged on by the european catamites) will be forced to keep escalating rather than be the one to "lose Ukraine".
It's an obvious trap, and Trump, being a moron, is walking right into it.
Trump doing 180's monthly stopped being news a while ago already, I'd say. Allegedly proposed text clearly at odds with basic RF needs too, from the beginning, so no surprises there either
Enlightening. Thank you.
wow, this was fire! (as usual). Is the purpose of the Russian hits on infrastructure to take the candy from the Europeans, to decrease their incentive to dump more money and weapons on Ukraine?
It's to demilitarize (ie, deindustrialize) Ukraine, and get people to go to safety rather than be exterminated by the TCC conscription/extortion program
No. It is because Russia has no way to harm anyone making any of the actual decisions, so why should they care if Ukrainians freeze or starve?